- Uniswap price dropped 60% from its December 2024 high.
- SEC cleared Uniswap, but the price showed no strong reaction.
- UNI may hit $25 in 2025 if DeFi adoption grows.
Uniswap (UNI) operates as one of the major decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that function within the cryptocurrency market. Between December 2024 and late February 2025 the value of Uniswap (UNI) dropped by 60%. The market expects UNI to take its next step so investors analyze recent developments for signs of potential turnaround through regulatory clarity and technical trends assessment.
SEC Investigation Closure and Market Response
On February 25 Uniswap reported that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) finished its investigation by choosing not to initiate any enforcement measures. The DeFi sector gained substantial victory through this decision because the SEC had previously demonstrated intense opposition to crypto projects. The UNI price has failed to increase even though authorities gave positive regulatory feedback because market dynamics keep pushing it toward $6.88 which remains its lowest value from this year.
The price has failed to rise due to continued negative market and technical conditions that prevail across broader financial trends. The weekly timeframe shows a continuing bearish trend because the UNI price has dropped below major support areas while it faces difficulties building upward movement.
Technical Analysis: Bearish or Oversold?
UNI’s technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The price currently sits close to an ascending support trendline stretching over 483 days and which has proved as a powerful defense line in the past. The next strong barrier of support for UNI will appear at $4.20, presenting a critical barrier to reaching an all-time low.
Current market analysis reveals that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains a value lower than 50 but the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is heading toward negative space. The bearish market outlook continues to extend into upcoming time periods based on these two analytical indicators. The ongoing downward trend can be inspected through UNI’s movement within a descending parallel channel on the daily timeframe which represents corrective movements before price breakouts.
This chart pattern could indicate brief periods of price recovery before the involved security breaks out of the defined area. Market experts suggest that potential price rebounds could be brief because the extended industry movement exists in a downward direction.
Uniswap’s future price trajectory depends heavily on how people accept decentralized finance alongside their investment behavior since cryptocurrency markets must navigate regulatory adjustments according to market fluctuation patterns. The expansion of decentralized financial solutions by financial institutions positions Uniswap among the top decentralized exchange solutions.
Under a bullish market condition UNI tokens might recuperate enough to achieve $25 by December 2025. The projected success of Uniswap relies on ongoing DeFi industry growth and enhanced features including its Layer-1 Monad Blockchain platform. A sustained bearish trend will make it challenging for UNI to surpass $10 regardless of market conditions or any rising regulatory factors.
The price movement of Uniswap remains unpredictable after the SEC investigation produced favorable outcomes. The overall technical indicators show UNI maintaining a downward trend however brief upward movements can still appear. From a fundamental perspective Uniswap functions as a decentralized exchange leader whose long-term value continues to be compelling for investors. The performance of UNI’s price in 2025 and following years will depend heavily on market conditions and competitive pressures that other DEXs create.